August 19 – 22
Liberty National Golf Course
Justin Thomas 25-1
I like this guy for a few reasons this week. Anytime Justin Thomas is 25-1, he pretty much needs to be an auto play. He’s gained on approach in four straight and three out of four off the tee. He has been able to finish well without his putter working; a good week of putting could have him set up for a big run. Course fits him well and he finished T-12 here in 2019.
Daniel Berger 30-1
Daniel Berger has gained on approach in twelve (12!) straight events and putting in four straight. Heating up with finishes of 8th and 5th his last two out. Trending well, great course fit, finished sixth here in 2019, should be in contention on the weekend.
Jordan Spieth over Dustin Johnson -130
Unfortunately for DJ, they aren’t playing this tournament at the same course last year. Spieth has played better recently, better fit for the course, and finished sixth here in 2019. Don’t be surprised to see Jordan Spieth near the top this week.
Kevin Na over Si WOO Kim -135.
As simple as playing the better golfer who is in better form. Kevin Na has finished 2nd-23rd-2nd his last three out, while Si WOO Kim has been everywhere on a leaderboard and tends to play poorly in strong fields. Back Na to get it done over SWK this week.
Rory McIlroy over Xander Schauffele -120
I think Xander is a little overrated due to his Olympic win a few weeks back. The level of competition in that field was not strong and he finished 46th the following week. Rory is trending in the right direction and in a similar pattern to the way he did when he won earlier in the year. Xander missed the cut the last time the tournament was played here, while Rory finished 6th. Rory is gaining off the tee and on approach his last six events, and if the putter does anything for him should be near the top of the leaderboard.
Full Tournament Card
Justin Thomas to win +2500 (0.2 units)
Justin Thomas to finish top 10 (0.205 units)
Justin Thomas to finish top 20 (0.42 units)
Daniel Berger to win +3000 (0.15 units)
Daniel Berger to finish top 10 +260 (0.25 units)
Daniel Berger to finish top 20 +120 (0.5 units)
Jordan Spieth over Dustin Johnson -130 (0.5 units)
Jordan Spieth over Dustin Johnson -1.5 +110 (0.25 units)
Kevin Na over Si WOO Kim -135 (0.5 units)
Rory McIlroy over Xander Schauffele -120 (0.5 units)
SIDE BET WITH WIDMAN: Rory over Xander +100 (0.327 units)
Rory McIlroy over Bryson DeChambeau -115 (0.5 units)
Cameron Smith to win +4000 (0.15 units)
Jhonattan Vegas to win +9500 (0.075 units)
Matthew Wolff to win +10000 (0.075 units)